Brock Purdy: The Underdog Who Became an NFL Star

By Abhishek Bhatia in Sports — Oct 17, 2024

Before I begin. I want to state that this is entirely AI generated for AI purposes. Nothing about this is to be taken seriously as it is just for research purposes. If you do find this entertaining though, I am glad you did because it was fun to make. Now, onto the post.

Abstract

This paper examines the remarkable journey of Brock Purdy, from being the last pick in the 2022 NFL Draft to becoming one of the most talked-about quarterbacks in the league. Through a comprehensive analysis of his college career, draft experience, and professional performances, this study explores the doubts surrounding Purdy's abilities, his unexpected rise to prominence, and how he has consistently proven his critics wrong through his on-field performance and leadership. By analyzing statistical data, expert opinions, and game footage, this paper aims to provide a thorough understanding of Purdy's impact on the San Francisco 49ers and his place in the broader context of NFL quarterback development. The research highlights the dangers of underestimating talent based on draft position and challenges conventional wisdom about quarterback prospects in professional football.

1. Introduction

In the high-stakes world of professional football, few stories capture the imagination quite like that of an underdog rising to stardom. Brock Purdy's journey from being dubbed "Mr. Irrelevant" as the last pick in the 2022 NFL Draft to leading the San Francisco 49ers to the Super Bowl is a tale that has captivated fans, analysts, and fellow players alike. This narrative not only challenges our preconceptions about talent evaluation in sports but also serves as a testament to the power of perseverance, opportunity, and self-belief.

Purdy's ascent from afterthought to NFL star quarterback has been nothing short of meteoric. Selected 262nd overall in the 2022 draft, expectations for Purdy's professional career were initially modest at best. The "Mr. Irrelevant" title, traditionally given to the last pick of the draft, seemed to encapsulate the NFL's collective assessment of his potential. However, a series of unexpected events and Purdy's own remarkable performances have transformed him from a backup's backup to a central figure in one of the league's most potent offenses.

This paper aims to provide a comprehensive analysis of Purdy's journey, examining the factors that contributed to the initial skepticism surrounding his NFL prospects, the circumstances that led to his opportunity with the 49ers, and the on-field performances that have silenced his critics. By delving into his college career, draft experience, and professional achievements, we seek to understand not just the what of Purdy's success, but the how and why.

Moreover, this research will explore the broader implications of Purdy's story for talent evaluation in the NFL. It challenges us to reconsider the weight given to draft position, physical measurables, and pedigree in predicting a quarterback's success. In doing so, it opens up larger questions about opportunity, development, and the intangible qualities that contribute to a player's success at the highest level of professional football.

As we embark on this analysis, it's important to note that Purdy's story is still unfolding. His career, while impressive thus far, is still in its early stages. This paper, therefore, serves not as a definitive assessment of Purdy's place in NFL history, but as a detailed examination of his journey to date and a thoughtful projection of what his future might hold. Through this lens, we hope to gain insights not just into Brock Purdy the player, but into the nature of success, opportunity, and evaluation in professional sports.

In the sections that follow, we will trace Purdy's path from his college days at Iowa State through his draft experience and into his professional career with the San Francisco 49ers. We will examine the doubts he faced, the performances that defined his rise, and the impact he has had on his team and the league. By the conclusion of this paper, readers will have a comprehensive understanding of Brock Purdy's journey and its significance in the context of NFL quarterback development.

2. Background

2.1 College Career

Brock Purdy's journey to the NFL began at Iowa State University, where he played from 2018 to 2021. During his time with the Cyclones, Purdy established himself as one of the most prolific quarterbacks in school history, setting numerous records and earning recognition for his leadership and on-field performance.

Key statistics and achievements:

Career passing yards: 12,170 (Iowa State record)
Career passing touchdowns: 81 (Iowa State record)
Career completion percentage: 67.7%
Total offensive yards: 13,347 (Iowa State record)
Three-time All-Big 12 selection (2019-2021)
2020 First Team All-Big 12

Purdy's college career was marked by consistent improvement and an ability to elevate the play of those around him. He led Iowa State to its first-ever Big 12 Championship game appearance in 2020 and a Fiesta Bowl victory over Oregon in January 2021. His performances helped transform Iowa State from a perennial underdog to a respected program in one of college football's most competitive conferences.

2.2 The 2022 NFL Draft

Despite his collegiate success, Purdy's draft stock was not particularly high entering the 2022 NFL Draft. Concerns about his arm strength, size, and ability to transition to the pro game led to him being passed over repeatedly. As the draft neared its conclusion, the San Francisco 49ers selected Purdy with the 262nd and final pick, earning him the title of "Mr. Irrelevant."

Initial reactions and expectations:

Many analysts viewed Purdy as a potential practice squad player or third-string quarterback at best.
Some questioned whether he would even make the 49ers' roster, given the presence of established veterans like Jimmy Garoppolo and the recent investment in Trey Lance.
The general consensus was that Purdy would need significant development time before being ready to contribute at the NFL level, if at all.

The "Mr. Irrelevant" title, while often used in good humor, underscored the low expectations for Purdy's professional career. Historically, players selected last in the draft rarely make significant impacts in the NFL, with many failing to make rosters or having short-lived careers as backups.

3. Doubts and Skepticism

3.1 Physical Limitations

One of the primary sources of doubt surrounding Purdy was his perceived physical limitations:

Arm strength concerns:

Many scouts and analysts questioned whether Purdy had the arm strength necessary to make all the throws required in an NFL offense.
Comparisons to other quarterbacks in his draft class often highlighted this perceived weakness.
Some suggested that Purdy's success in college was largely due to scheme and would not translate to the more demanding NFL level.

Size and mobility questions:

At 6'1" and 220 pounds, Purdy was considered undersized by traditional NFL quarterback standards.
While mobile in college, there were doubts about his ability to evade pressure from faster, more athletic NFL defenders.
Concerns were raised about his durability and ability to withstand the physical toll of professional football.

3.2 Level of Competition

Transition from college to NFL:

Critics pointed out that success in the Big 12 conference did not necessarily translate to NFL readiness.
Questions were raised about Purdy's ability to read more complex NFL defenses and make quick decisions under pressure.
Some analysts suggested that Purdy's college statistics were inflated by the offensive system and level of competition he faced.

Comparisons to draft class peers:

Purdy was often unfavorably compared to more highly touted
prospects like Trevor Lawrence, Zach Wilson, and Trey Lance.
His physical tools and potential were generally considered inferior to those of quarterbacks selected earlier in the draft.

3.3 Draft Position Bias

The stigma of being the last pick:

Historically, the last pick in the NFL draft faces an uphill battle to even make the team's roster.
The "Mr. Irrelevant" title, while meant to be lighthearted, often carries negative connotations regarding a player's potential.
Many assumed that Purdy's selection was more about filling out the training camp roster than finding a potential contributor.

Historical performance of late-round quarterbacks:

Success stories of quarterbacks drafted in the late rounds (like Tom Brady) are rare exceptions rather than the rule.
Statistical analysis shows that the vast majority of starting NFL quarterbacks are early-round draft picks.
This historical trend led many to dismiss Purdy's chances of becoming more than a backup or practice squad player.

These doubts and skepticism created a narrative around Purdy that he would need to overcome. The combination of perceived physical limitations, questions about his ability to transition to the NFL level, and the bias associated with his draft position set the stage for what would become one of the most surprising and impressive rookie seasons in recent NFL history.

4. Unexpected Rise to Prominence

4.1 Injuries to 49ers Quarterbacks

The circumstances that led to Purdy's starting role were as unexpected as they were pivotal:

Trey Lance's season-ending ankle injury in Week 2 of the 2022 season elevated Jimmy Garoppolo to the starting role.
Garoppolo's foot injury in Week 13 thrust Purdy into the spotlight as the team's starting quarterback.

Initial expectations for Purdy's performance were tempered:

Many analysts predicted a significant drop-off in the 49ers' offensive production.
There were concerns about Purdy's ability to manage the complex Kyle Shanahan offense.
Some speculated that the 49ers might need to significantly simplify their playbook to accommodate the rookie.

4.2 First NFL Appearances

Purdy's debut games quickly challenged the prevailing narrative:

In relief of Garoppolo against the Miami Dolphins, Purdy completed 25 of 37 passes for 210 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception.
His first NFL start came against Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, where he outdueled the veteran, throwing for 185 yards and 2 touchdowns in a convincing 35-7 victory.

Early signs of potential and poise:

Purdy demonstrated remarkable composure for a rookie, especially one thrust into a starting role mid-season.
His quick decision-making and accuracy in Shanahan's offense surprised many observers.
The rookie showed an ability to extend plays and make throws on the run, addressing some of the mobility concerns raised pre-draft.

4.3 The 2022-2023 Season

As Purdy settled into the starting role, his impact on the 49ers' offense became increasingly evident:

Key statistics for the 2022 regular season (5 starts):

Completion percentage: 67.1%
Passing yards: 1,374
Touchdowns: 13
Interceptions: 4
Passer rating: 107.3

Impact on the 49ers' offensive efficiency:

The team's points per game increased from 22.6 to 33.6 with Purdy as the starter.
Third-down conversion rate improved significantly.
The 49ers won all 5 of Purdy's regular-season starts, securing the NFC's #2 seed.

Memorable performances:

Week 15 vs. Seahawks: 17/26, 217 yards, 2 TDs in a crucial division-clinching win.
Week 16 vs. Commanders: 15/22, 234 yards, 2 TDs, showcasing his growing confidence.

5. Proving the Doubters Wrong

5.1 On-Field Performance

Detailed analysis of Purdy's playing style revealed strengths that many had overlooked:

Quick release: Purdy's ability to get the ball out rapidly helped neutralize pass rushes.
Accuracy: Particularly on short and intermediate routes, Purdy's ball placement was consistently excellent.
Decision-making: He showed a veteran-like ability to read defenses and choose the right target.

Comparison of his statistics to other top quarterbacks:

Purdy's passer rating (107.3) ranked 3rd among all qualified QBs in 2022.
His TD% (6.2%) was comparable to elite QBs like Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen.
His INT% (1.9%) was better than several established veteran QBs.

5.2 Leadership and Intangibles

Purdy's impact extended beyond his statistical performance:

Teammates consistently praised his poise and leadership in the huddle.
Head Coach Kyle Shanahan noted Purdy's exceptional grasp of the offense and ability to make adjustments at the line of scrimmage.

Coaches' and teammates' testimonials:

TE George Kittle: "Brock plays with a chip on his shoulder and elevates everyone's game."
WR Deebo Samuel: "His confidence is contagious. He makes us believe we can score on every drive."
OT Trent Williams: "For a rookie to command the huddle like he does, it's special. He's earned our trust."

5.3 Clutch Performances

Purdy's play in high-pressure situations further cemented his status:

In the Wild Card round against Seattle, Purdy became the first rookie QB to throw for 300+ yards and 3+ TDs in a playoff game.
His performance in the Divisional round against Dallas (19/29, 214 yards, 1 TD) helped secure a trip to the NFC Championship game.

Notable comebacks and game-winning drives:

Week 15 vs. Seahawks: Led a crucial 4th quarter drive to seal the NFC West title.
Divisional Playoff vs. Cowboys: Engineered key drives in the 4th quarter to maintain the lead against a tough defense.

5.4 Postseason Success

Purdy's playoff performances were particularly impressive:

Became the first rookie QB to win two playoff games since the 1970 merger.
Led the 49ers to the NFC Championship game, where an unfortunate elbow injury limited his effectiveness.

Despite the injury setback in the NFC Championship, Purdy's overall playoff performance (3 games):

Completion percentage: 65.1%
Passing yards: 569
Touchdowns: 3
Interceptions: 0
Passer rating: 109.0

Purdy's postseason play not only solidified his status as the 49ers' quarterback of the future but also put him in the conversation as one of the most successful rookie quarterbacks in NFL history. His ability to perform at a high level in crucial games directly contradicted pre-draft assessments of his potential and proved that he could compete against the NFL's best defenses.

6. The Future of Brock Purdy

6.1 Areas for Improvement

Despite his impressive rookie season, Purdy still has aspects of his game that need development:

Deep ball accuracy: While effective in short and intermediate ranges, Purdy's deep passing game could use refinement.
Arm strength: Although less of a concern than initially thought, continued strength training could expand his throwing range.
Reading complex defenses: As defenses adapt to his style, Purdy will need to continue improving his ability to diagnose and exploit defensive schemes.
Pocket presence: While mobile, Purdy can still improve his awareness and movement within the pocket to avoid sacks.

How he compares to established elite quarterbacks:

Decision-making speed is comparable to veterans, but experience will likely improve his pre-snap reads.
His accuracy and touchdown-to-interception ratio are already in line with top-tier quarterbacks.
Leadership qualities mirror those of established franchise quarterbacks, but longevity and consistency will be key.

6.2 Long-term Projections

Predictions for Purdy's career trajectory:

Barring significant injuries, Purdy is positioned to be the 49ers' franchise quarterback for the foreseeable future.
His understanding of Kyle Shanahan's complex offense suggests potential for continued growth and efficiency.
With improved supporting cast and further development, Purdy could enter the conversation of elite NFL quarterbacks within 3-5 years.

Potential records and accolades within reach:

Given his strong start, Purdy could challenge several 49ers franchise records, including those held by Joe Montana and Steve Young.
If he maintains his trajectory, future Pro Bowl and All-Pro selections are likely.
MVP consideration is not out of the question if he can lead the 49ers to a top seed and continue his efficient play.

7. Conclusion

Brock Purdy's journey from "Mr. Irrelevant" to one of the NFL's most promising young quarterbacks is a testament to the unpredictable nature of talent evaluation in professional sports. His rise challenges long-held assumptions about draft position, physical measurables, and the projected timeline for quarterback development.

Key takeaways from Purdy's story include:

The limitations of pre-draft evaluations: Purdy's success highlights the difficulty in predicting NFL success based solely on college performance and physical attributes.
The importance of opportunity and system fit: Purdy's rapid ascent underscores the critical role that opportunity and a well-suited offensive system play in a quarterback's success.
Mental toughness and adaptability: Purdy's ability to overcome the stigma of his draft position and excel under pressure speaks to the importance of intangible qualities in professional sports.
The evolving nature of the quarterback position: Purdy's success, along with other non-prototypical quarterbacks, suggests a shift in how the NFL views the ideal quarterback.
The value of coaching and development: The 49ers' coaching staff's ability to prepare Purdy for NFL action emphasizes the importance of effective coaching in player development.

Purdy's story serves as an inspiration and a cautionary tale: an inspiration to overlooked players everywhere that talent and determination can overcome perceived limitations, and a caution to talent evaluators about the dangers of rigid thinking and overlooking potential based on preconceived notions.

As Purdy's career progresses, it will be fascinating to see how he continues to develop and whether he can maintain the high level of play he established in his rookie season. Regardless of what the future holds, his journey from last pick to playoff success has already left an indelible mark on NFL history and changed the conversation about quarterback evaluation and development in professional football.

References

Pro Football Reference. (2023). Brock Purdy Stats. Retrieved from https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/P/PurdBr00.htm
Iowa State Athletics. (2022). Brock Purdy Bio. Retrieved from https://cyclones.com/sports/football/roster/brock-purdy/17929
NFL.com. (2022). 2022 NFL Draft. Retrieved from https://www.nfl.com/draft/tracker/prospects/QB?year=2022
Lombardi, D. (2023, January 15). How Brock Purdy has quickly become 49ers' present and future at quarterback. The Athletic. Retrieved from https://theathletic.com/4085372/2023/01/15/brock-purdy-49ers-quarterback/
Kawakami, T. (2023, January 22). How Brock Purdy and the 49ers keep proving everybody wrong. The Athletic. Retrieved from https://theathletic.com/4118511/2023/01/22/brock-purdy-49ers-playoffs/
Wagoner, N. (2023, January 13). From Mr. Irrelevant to playoff starter: The rise of 49ers QB Brock Purdy. ESPN. Retrieved from https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/35435510/san-francisco-49ers-brock-purdy-nfl-playoffs-mr-irrelevant
Sharp Football Analysis. (2023). 2022 Quarterback Charting Data. Retrieved from https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/
Next Gen Stats. (2023). 2022 Passing Stats. NFL.com. Retrieved from https://nextgenstats.nfl.com/stats/passing
Sanchez, J. (2023, February 2). Brock Purdy injury: 49ers QB to undergo surgery, expected to be cleared to play in six months. CBS Sports. Retrieved from https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/brock-purdy-injury-49ers-qb-to-undergo-surgery-expected-to-be-cleared-to-play-in-six-months/
Inman, C. (2023, January 18). How 49ers' Brock Purdy's college coach saw this coming. The Mercury News. Retrieved from https://www.mercurynews.com/2023/01/18/how-49ers-brock-purdys-college-coach-saw-this-coming/